Saresh's Casino · fairness certified by weeping
Belt Gamba
Screams of the Desiccated
That exact unidentified Leather Belt from trade. Inside is either a brick or a pension. Identify as many as you like: it's a simulator, the RNG is real, the losses aren't.
Verified
Odds model — what's "near-real" here
The fixed stats and the pool of 13 shrines match the real belt (Mirage, 3.28; drops unidentified from the boss Saresh, of the Weeping Black). The pool is 8 offensive + 5 defensive (Resonating is defensive). GGG never published the roll weights, so the simulator estimates them like this:
- number of shrines: ~87% one, ~13% two (officially: "two are possible but not guaranteed" — so two is rare, and single-shrine belts are far cheaper);
- if there are two shrines, it's always one offensive + one defensive (two offensive or two defensive can't roll);
- drop weights are tuned by value/rarity: Echoing is the rarest and most expensive (worth several mirrors on its own), so any belt with Echoing — solo or in a combo — is cosmic tier; Diamond and Resistance are god-tier and also rare, everything else is common. No exact figures exist — this is an estimate, not datamine;
- the "(15–20)% increased Effect of Shrine Buffs" line rolls with a ~23% chance;
- the implicit and fixed stats roll uniformly within their ranges.
Net result: cosmic tier — any Echoing (solo or in a combo) ≈ 0.37% (~1 in 268), mirror (Diamond + top defensive) ≈ 0.38%, any Diamond ≈ 3.7%, and most belts are a single shrine and dreams down the drain.